Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.367196e-02 0.015346 0.017039 0.018875 0.020803 0.022764 0.024905
2025-05-11 1.055752e-02 0.013140 0.015877 0.018962 0.022319 0.025837 0.029781
2025-05-18 8.636900e-03 0.011676 0.015011 0.018879 0.023185 0.027784 0.033023
2025-05-25 7.019314e-03 0.010319 0.014068 0.018529 0.023596 0.029095 0.035442
2025-06-01 5.861206e-03 0.009349 0.013442 0.018424 0.024181 0.030509 0.037889
2025-06-08 4.811954e-03 0.008390 0.012733 0.018139 0.024489 0.031553 0.039870
2025-06-15 4.074679e-03 0.007740 0.012331 0.018159 0.025099 0.032897 0.042147
2025-06-22 3.297415e-03 0.006947 0.011688 0.017838 0.025268 0.033702 0.043785
2025-06-29 2.564940e-03 0.006123 0.010941 0.017338 0.025184 0.034183 0.045022
2025-07-06 1.817775e-03 0.005160 0.009938 0.016463 0.024605 0.034052 0.045527
2025-07-13 1.550700e-03 0.004910 0.009870 0.016749 0.025413 0.035527 0.047866
2025-07-20 1.206379e-03 0.004471 0.009506 0.016630 0.025708 0.036384 0.049477
2025-07-27 8.270639e-04 0.003908 0.008965 0.016307 0.025803 0.037073 0.050984
2025-08-03 5.972591e-04 0.003580 0.008751 0.016419 0.026451 0.038442 0.053313
2025-08-10 3.833491e-04 0.003198 0.008414 0.016338 0.026834 0.039474 0.055231
2025-08-17 1.933603e-04 0.002747 0.007922 0.016013 0.026886 0.040090 0.056645
2025-08-24 8.623674e-05 0.002427 0.007609 0.015915 0.027213 0.041028 0.058427
2025-08-31 1.681828e-05 0.002075 0.007197 0.015651 0.027305 0.041667 0.059844
2025-09-07 2.469395e-08 0.001853 0.006991 0.015669 0.027758 0.042738 0.061769
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001548 0.006585 0.015371 0.027776 0.043263 0.063030
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001225 0.006089 0.014907 0.027554 0.043476 0.063905
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000854 0.005396 0.014095 0.026836 0.043048 0.063988
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000786 0.005389 0.014360 0.027580 0.044457 0.066297